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 ISSUE 73 * OCTOBER 23, 2003

FORWARD TO A FRIEND! 

Party Like It's 1999

EVERYONE IS TALKING about an IT recovery. After a three-year slump, technology companies in the U.S. are poised to make a spectacular comeback -- or so say the geniuses who get paid to make such predictions.

Gartner Chairman and CEO Michael Fleisher said this week that "2004 will be the year that companies make the turn from protecting profitability to driving growth."

Tech giants like Intel, IBM, TI, Nokia and Apple are posting revenue gains and healthy profits. Even the dot-coms are making big bucks, including Amazon, eBay, and Yahoo.

The experts use criteria like profits, sales and survey data suggesting that both consumers and businesses are finally ready to start buying servers, computers, phones and gadgets galore.

But the experts are often wrong, so I use more reliable criteria -- which, I am happy to report, confirm rosy projections for tech-sector growth.

The first of my criteria is called the Silicon Valley Traffic Index. The worse the traffic is between San Jose and San Francisco, the better the global tech sector is about to become. (I spent the entire month of August, 1999, stuck in traffic on the U.S. 101 between the Embarcadero Road and University Avenue exits in Palo Alto. Those were the days.)

After the dot-com meltdown, the traffic in Silicon Valley improved. But about five weeks ago, people started complaining about longer commutes again. I've noticed a definite traffic slowdown, so things are clearly looking up for technology.

The second criteria I have for monitoring growth in the tech sector is called the Craig's List Index. Craig's List is a low-tech online classified ads service where you can find homes, apartments, stuff to buy and jobs. Though Craig's List now covers several cities, it used to exist only for stuff in the San Francisco Bay Area (San Francisco, Silicon Valley, Oakland, etc.). People here in Silicon Valley love Craig's List, and use it heavily.

You can predict the health of the tech sector by monitoring job offers posted on Craig's List. Craig -- he of the List -- told WIRED recently that area job postings have doubled since last year and have increased by 50% in the past six months. Most of those new jobs are technology-related.

So it appears that the experts are right this time: An IT rebound is on the way. Now if I could only get to work on time...

 

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New Re-Writable Printer Paper Demonstrated

Shinsho Corp and Majima Laboratory showed off a prototype of their recyclable, rewritable paper at CEATEC in Japan last week. The paper should be available by spring of next year. Called "Thermo-Mag," the paper can be printed on using a special printer, then erased and reused. The paper uses magnetic particles embedded in wax, and is erased at the same time it's printed upon by melting the wax and re-arranging the suspended particles. The paper is perfect for, er, driving up printing costs and lowering quality.


Honda Creates A.I. Helicopter Robot

Honda scientists say they have created the world's first helicopter flown entirely by artificial intelligence. The hovering robot can detect and negotiate obstacles, and even learn new information during a flight that can be applied during the next flight.


Bad Robots

Asia's largest electronics and computing fair in Tokyo -- CEATEC 2003 (Combined Exhibition of Advanced Technologies) -- was kicked off Saturday with the unveiling of robots that can do martial arts. A robot called Morph3 has 138 pressure sensors, 30 different onboard motors, 14 computer chips and special programming that enables it to do karate. A Fujitsu robot called HOAP-2 does a Chinese martial art called taijiquan and Sumo stances.


Don't Waste Your Money!

Spend it on something worthwhile, like a quick and easy contribution to Mike's List! The newsletter costs hundreds to host and send each month, but has zero advertising, zero spam and zero revenue from subscription payments. This exciting issue of Mike's List is sponsored by the Mike's List "Buck a Month Club": Jeff, John, Ray, Joseph, Mark, Sherrin, Ian, Ricardo, Terry, Dennis, Amira, Judy, "L", Joel, Charles, Glenn, Paul, Nicholas, Audrey, Doug, Phil, James, Gloria, Timothy, Gordon, Brian, William, James, Security, Brad, Bram, David, Evren, Ankesh, Roger, Peter and Andrew. Go here to use your credit card via PayPal to sponsor Mike's List with a quick and easy contribution. (You can use your credit card via PayPal.)


Unanticipated Convergence

A Chinese company called Xian Konghong Information & Technology Co., Ltd, makes a USB-powered negative-ion air purifier. Just plug it into any available USB port, and it cleans the air in your office using electricity from your PC.


Hollywood Spy

The 1974 TV series, "The Six Million Dollar Man," which featured astronaut Steve Austin as a re-built cyborg ("We can rebuild him. We have the technology.") will be made into a movie by Dimension Films and directed by Todd Phillips (director of "Road Trip" and "Old School"). Best of all, the title role will be played by none other than -- brace yourself -- Jim Carrey.


Cell Phone Follies

LG Electronics has come out with a mobile phone for Muslims. It has a built-in compass that, after users input their current locations, points to Mecca, Saudi Arabia. (Muslims who pray do so facing Mecca, so the cell phone should be a big hit among the devout.) Combined with free SMS prayer alerts, the LG Muslim phone can become an indispensable device for Muslims worldwide. The Muslim phone and SMS prayer alerts service give the Muslim "call to prayer" a whole new meaning!

In response to Nokia's new Imagewear line of cell-phone compatible jewelry accessories, Sprint has added a necklace strap to a regular cell phone, condescendingly believing that teenagers are so idiotic that they'll wear a cell phone as a necklace.

Samsung's latest e700 camera phone features a night-shot capability, as well as up to 15 frames of rapid-fire snapshots. Best of all, the phone's web site is packed with hilarious "Korenglish" -- really bad translations from Korean into English. Here's one gem from the site: "The darkness brings a mysterious night power. And it becomes loyal to my extreme silhouette, such a temple in the flash..." Now what the hell does THAT mean? Still, the phone is cool.


Mike's List on the Radio

Craig Crossman's Computer America features Mike Elgan every Thursday night. The show runs from 7pm to 9pm SVT (Silicon Valley Time). Listen to Computer America on your local Business TalkRadio station or over the Internet every weeknight. Don't miss Computer America!


Proof You Can Buy Anything on the Web

How about a "s'more" maker for your office?

Or how about the craziest Japanese wristwatches ever created?


Reader Web Site o' the Week

American Digest: Dispatches from the New America, is a blog created by Mike's List reader Gerard Van der Leun and packed with an eclectic mix of political observation and commentary, social and cultural items and technology stuff. Check out American Digest!

Get YOUR web site on the high-traffic Mike's List Reader Links page. HERE'S HOW


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The Ultimate Gadget: the Treo 600 on Verizon

The Treo 600, which will probably be the greatest gadget ever, may tragically be available only through the world's worst wireless phone carriers: Sprint (bad), T-Mobile (worse), AT&T (terrible), Cingular (bottom of the barrel). A petition was formed and is promoted by Verizon customer and Mike's List reader Robert J. Varipapa, who sent a letter to Verizon CEO Dennis Strigl, and received a reply today. Strigl said that Verizon is "considering adding the Treo 600 to our lineup," and that the device is currently being tested by Verizon engineers. That sounds promising, but let's keep the pressure on. Sign the Verizon Handspring Treo 600 Petition to push for Verizon support of the Treo 600!


Wacky Web Sites

Explore the wonders and mysteries of the "Asian Squat" -- and even learn how to do it at the How To Do The Asian Squat web site.

The Joe Camel character was banned by the courts in the U.S. because, it was argued, cartoon characters pitch to kids. But that didn't bother anyone in the 1960s. Check out this Video Vault: Cigarette Advertising on TV page. The Flintstones cartoon show was "brought to you by" Winston cigarettes -- and even featured Fred and Barney going on and on about how good the cigarettes were.

Ever hear a song on the radio, but don't know what it's called? The YES web site will tell you. Just enter the city, then choose from local radio stations. It will list all the songs that were played on that station in the past 24 hours.


Twisted Game

Hover Bump


Mystery Pic o' the Week

What is it? Send YOUR guess to [email protected] (be sure to say where you live). If you're first with the right answer, I'll print your name in the next issue of Mike's List!

LAST WEEK'S MYSTERY PIC: No, it's not a "drunk-driving simulator," an "automated Dominos pizza delivery system" or even "David Hasselhoff's car, K.I.T.T. from the series 'Knight Rider'," as suggested by some readers. In fact, it's the cab of a U.S. Department of Transportation's National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Toyota 4Runner test vehicle about to perform new dynamic rollover tests, which are controlled by a computer for accuracy. Major Mike's List congratulations to Neil Miller of Bellevue, Washington, for being first with the right answer.


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STEAL THIS NEWSLETTER!: You have permission to post, e-mail, copy, print or reproduce this newsletter as many times as you like, but please do not modify it. Mike's List is written and published from deep inside the black heart of Silicon Valley by Mike Elgan. The Mike's List newsletter is totally independent, and does not accept advertising, sponsorships or depraved junkets to sunny resorts. Mike writes and speaks about technology culture, smart phones, smart people, random gadgets, bad ideas, weird computers, painful implants, malicious robots and the Internet. If you're a member of the media and would like to schedule an interview, please go here